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A Discount to NAV Still Needs Underwriting ...more
Capital Allocation ,Contrarian Analysis &Asset
September 23, 2026•13 min read

A Performing Loan Can Still Fail the Refinance Test ...more
Capital Allocation ,Asset
September 23, 2026•9 min read

The federal funds rate has fallen 175 basis points since September 2024. The 10-year Treasury has risen 112 basis points over the same period. If lower rates were supposed to compress cap rates, the... ...more
Capital Allocation ,Contrarian Analysis &Asset
September 10, 2026•11 min read

Why the balanced case gives JLL 50%, EQT 30%, Cottonwood 20%, and FS 0% ...more
Capital Allocation ,Asset
September 07, 2026•7 min read

Don’t Need to Predict an AI Crash to Have an AI Problem ...more
AI
September 03, 2026•14 min read

In May, EM Capital’s published Q2 model placed self-storage in Underweight: a 5.33% entry cap, a 6.8% forward unlevered return, a 9.5% hurdle, and negative 2.7 percentage points of Cap-Rate Alpha. ...more
Capital Allocation ,AI &Asset
September 02, 2026•8 min read
