
A Discount to NAV Still Needs Underwriting ...more
Capital Allocation ,Contrarian Analysis &Asset
September 23, 2026•13 min read

A Performing Loan Can Still Fail the Refinance Test ...more
Capital Allocation ,Asset
September 23, 2026•9 min read

The federal funds rate has fallen 175 basis points since September 2024. The 10-year Treasury has risen 112 basis points over the same period. If lower rates were supposed to compress cap rates, the... ...more
Capital Allocation ,Contrarian Analysis &Asset
September 10, 2026•11 min read

Why the balanced case gives JLL 50%, EQT 30%, Cottonwood 20%, and FS 0% ...more
Capital Allocation ,Asset
September 07, 2026•7 min read

In May, EM Capital’s published Q2 model placed self-storage in Underweight: a 5.33% entry cap, a 6.8% forward unlevered return, a 9.5% hurdle, and negative 2.7 percentage points of Cap-Rate Alpha. ...more
Capital Allocation ,AI &Asset
September 02, 2026•8 min read

Why Japan's homebuilding bet on America is a cost-of-capital story, and why the same cash flows can support different prices. ...more
Capital Allocation ,Asset
August 13, 2026•6 min read
